Varzim x Amarante Betting tips for February 7 in Portugal Liga 3
| 📅 7/2/2026 15:00 |
Varzim1.80 |
X 3.18 |
Amarante ![]() 4.29 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Varzim x Amarante:
🔮 Varzim wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Varzim, you can win up to $900.00!
The main points for the tip for Varzim x Amarante:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Varzim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Amarante in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $525.0.
👉 Amarante did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 Amarante matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Amarante has not lost any of them.
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Varzim x Amarante?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Varzim x Amarante, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Varzim x Amarante for the Portugal Liga 3 – 7 of February
🏟️ Varzim X Amarante – Portugal Liga 3
📅 7 of February, 2026 – 15:00
🔵 Varzim – Winning probability: 58.44% | Fair line: 1.71
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.19% | Fair line: 3.68
🔴 Amarante – Winning probability: 14.36% | Fair line: 6.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Varzim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for Varzim x Amarante
It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Varzim x Amarante.
Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Varzim are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.8 for Varzim and now the odds are @1.8.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Draw and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for Amarante are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @4.0 for Amarante and now the odds are @4.0.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.50 for Varzim is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.0 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Varzim x Amarante
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Varzim x Amarante right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1475440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Should you bet on Varzim?
🔵 Varzim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
- And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$44.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $588.60;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$141.40.
Is betting on Amarante worth it?
🔴 Amarante: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $460.60;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$399.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Varzim x Amarante
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Varzim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Varzim x Amarante
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Varzim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Varzim.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Varzim.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Varzim x Amarante
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Varzim x Amarante
Who is the favourite for Varzim x Amarante?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Varzim, with a win probability of 58.44%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: Varzim x Amarante?
Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Varzim has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 58.44%. If you bet on Varzim, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Varzim beating Amarante today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Varzim would take victory in roughly 58 of them versus Amarante.
What are the chances of Amarante beating Varzim today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Amarante would win about 14 of those versus Varzim.
Which team should I bet on: Varzim or Amarante?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Varzim wins as the best pick, with EV of 5.26%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Varzim paying today? See what you can win by betting on Varzim x Amarante:
The average odds for Varzim to beat Amarante today are 1.80. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1800.00 if Varzim wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Amarante paying today? See what you can win by betting on Varzim x Amarante:
The average odds for Amarante to beat Varzim today are 4.29. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh4290.00 if Amarante wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Varzim