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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Varzim x Sporting B Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Liga 3
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 11h00 Portugal Liga 3
Varzim Varzim
PREDICTION No tip
Sporting B Sporting B
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Varzim x Sporting B Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Varzim x Sporting B, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
11:00
Varzim Varzim
2.08
X
3.10
Sporting B Sporting B
3.26

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Varzim x Sporting B:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Varzim x Sporting B

Some important points for the tip for Varzim x Sporting B:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Varzim in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $307.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Varzim scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sporting B, Varzim scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Varzim matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Varzim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Sporting B has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Varzim has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Sporting B.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Varzim x Sporting B?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Varzim x Sporting B, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Varzim x Sporting B for the Portugal Liga 3 – 9 of March

🏟️ Varzim X Sporting B – Portugal Liga 3
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ Varzim – Winning probability: 47.06% | Fair line: 2.13
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.12% | Fair line: 3.32
πŸ”΄ Sporting B – Winning probability: 22.82% | Fair line: 4.38
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Varzim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Varzim and Sporting B.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Varzim x Sporting B

Is it a good idea to bet on Varzim?

πŸ”΅ Varzim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $507.60;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$22.40.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is betting on Sporting B worth it?

πŸ”΄ Sporting B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $519.80;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$250.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Varzim x Sporting B

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Varzim
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Varzim x Sporting B

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Varzim, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Varzim.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Varzim x Sporting B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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