Vasco da Gama x Fluminense Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Campeonato Carioca
| 📅 6/2/2025 00:30 |
 Vasco da Gama2.45 |
X 2.91 |
Fluminense  2.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vasco da Gama x Fluminense:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1455.00!
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The main points for the tip for Vasco da Gama x Fluminense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-92.0. |
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Analysis from Vasco da Gama x Fluminense for the Brazil Campeonato Carioca – 6 of February
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🏟️ Vasco da Gama X Fluminense – Brazil Campeonato Carioca |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vasco da Gama x Fluminense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257906 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Vasco da Gama x Fluminense
Is it a good idea to bet on Vasco da Gama?
🔵 Vasco da Gama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $435.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $783.10
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$193.10.
Is it a good idea to bet on Fluminense?
🔴 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $493.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$217.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vasco da Gama x Fluminense
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vasco da Gama
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vasco da Gama x Fluminense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Vasco da Gama and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Vasco da Gama.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vasco da Gama x Fluminense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
