📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio for the Italy Serie D – 19 of January
🏟️ Vastese X ASD Montegiorgio – Italy Serie D
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289741 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio
Is it a good idea to bet on Vastese?
🔵 Vastese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $390.00;
- And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $660.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$100.00.
Is it worth betting on ASD Montegiorgio?
🔴 ASD Montegiorgio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $404.80;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$485.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vastese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Vastese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Vastese.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vastese x ASD Montegiorgio
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Wednesday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves