Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento Betting tips for December 1 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 22:15

Velez Sarsfield 1.40

X 4.20

Sarmiento 8.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $700.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sarmiento in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sarmiento, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Velez Sarsfield matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Sarmiento matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sarmiento conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Velez Sarsfield conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sarmiento. 👉 Velez Sarsfield has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sarmiento playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230541 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento

Is it worth betting on Velez Sarsfield?

🔵 Velez Sarsfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 88.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $352.00;
• And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$538.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sarmiento?

🔴 Sarmiento: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $75.00
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$915.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Velez Sarsfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Velez Sarsfield.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velez Sarsfield x Sarmiento

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.