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Home » Predictions » Others » Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Velo Clube SP Velo Clube SP
PREDICTION Velo Clube SP wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Portuguesa Desportos Portuguesa Desportos
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
21:30
Velo Clube SP Velo Clube SP
2.55
X
2.94
Portuguesa Desportos Portuguesa Desportos
2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos:

🔮 Velo Clube SP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velo Clube SP, you can win up to $1275.00!

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The main points for the tip for Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Velo Clube SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa Desportos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Velo Clube SP conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 4 of February

🏟️ Velo Clube SP X Portuguesa Desportos – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Velo Clube SP – Winning probability: 44.15% | Fair line: 2.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.99% | Fair line: 3.57
🔴 Portuguesa Desportos – Winning probability: 27.86% | Fair line: 3.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Velo Clube SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257615 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos

Is betting on Velo Clube SP worth it?

🔵 Velo Clube SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $682.00
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $543.20;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$176.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Portuguesa Desportos?

🔴 Portuguesa Desportos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $490.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Velo Clube SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Velo Clube SP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Velo Clube SP.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Velo Clube SP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Velo Clube SP x Portuguesa Desportos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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