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Home » Predictions » Others » Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge Betting tips for November 2 in Denmark Division 1
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 14h00 Denmark Division 1
Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF
PREDICTION No tip
HB Køge HB Køge
Don't miss this prediction!

Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge Betting tips for November 2 in Denmark Division 1

Our betting tip for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
14:00
Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF
1.51
X
4.39
HB Køge HB Køge
4.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge

Some important points for the tip for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vendsyssel FF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on HB Køge in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $2280.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, HB Køge scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against HB Køge, Vendsyssel FF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge, with Vendsyssel FF as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Vendsyssel FF conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, HB Køge has not lost any of them.
👉 Vendsyssel FF has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against HB Køge playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Vendsyssel FF as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge for the Denmark Division 1 – 2 of November

🏟️ Vendsyssel FF X HB Køge – Denmark Division 1
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Vendsyssel FF – Winning probability: 64.31% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.04% | Fair line: 5.54
🔴 HB Køge – Winning probability: 17.66% | Fair line: 5.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vendsyssel FF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213968 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge

Is it a good idea to bet on Vendsyssel FF?

🔵 Vendsyssel FF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $326.40
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$33.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $610.20;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$209.80.

Is betting on HB Køge worth it?

🔴 HB Køge: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $675.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Vendsyssel FF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Vendsyssel FF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Vendsyssel FF.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 HB Køge.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vendsyssel FF x HB Køge

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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