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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg Betting tips for November 2 in Germany Regionalliga Bayern
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 13h00 Germany Regionalliga Bayern
Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg
PREDICTION No tip
TSV Schwaben Augsburg TSV Schwaben Augsburg
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Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg Betting tips for November 2 in Germany Regionalliga Bayern

Our betting tip for Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg, Saturday, 2/11/2024
πŸ“… 2/11/2024
13:00
Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2.05
X
3.60
TSV Schwaben Augsburg TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg

Some important points for the tip for Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Viktoria Aschaffenburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-145.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSV Schwaben Augsburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Viktoria Aschaffenburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 TSV Schwaben Augsburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, TSV Schwaben Augsburg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for TSV Schwaben Augsburg as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg for the Germany Regionalliga Bayern – 2 of November

🏟️ Viktoria Aschaffenburg X TSV Schwaben Augsburg – Germany Regionalliga Bayern
πŸ“… 2 of November, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Viktoria Aschaffenburg – Winning probability: 46.77% | Fair line: 2.14
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.90% | Fair line: 3.86
πŸ”΄ TSV Schwaben Augsburg – Winning probability: 27.33% | Fair line: 3.66
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Viktoria Aschaffenburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Viktoria Aschaffenburg and TSV Schwaben Augsburg.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213968 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg

Is it worth betting on Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

πŸ”΅ Viktoria Aschaffenburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $493.50;
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$36.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $676.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is betting on TSV Schwaben Augsburg worth it?

πŸ”΄ TSV Schwaben Augsburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Viktoria Aschaffenburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Viktoria Aschaffenburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 TSV Schwaben Augsburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Viktoria Aschaffenburg x TSV Schwaben Augsburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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