Vila Nova x Goias Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Goiano

Our betting tip for Vila Nova x Goias, Sunday, 2/2/2025

📅 2/2/2025 21:00

Vila Nova 2.40

X 2.90

Goias 2.87

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vila Nova x Goias:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Vila Nova x Goias: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vila Nova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Goias in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $510.0. 👉 Vila Nova did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Goias scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Vila Nova matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Vila Nova x Goias, with Vila Nova as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Vila Nova has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Goias playing at home.

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Analysis from Vila Nova x Goias for the Brazil Campeonato Goiano – 2 of February

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vila Nova x Goias right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255527 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vila Nova x Goias

Is it a good idea to bet on Vila Nova?

🔵 Vila Nova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $350.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $817.00;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$247.00.

Should you bet on Goias?

🔴 Goias: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $598.40
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$81.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vila Nova x Goias

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vila Nova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vila Nova x Goias

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Vila Nova and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Vila Nova.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Goias.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vila Nova x Goias

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.