Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Liga 3
📅 12/1/2025 15:00 |
Vilaverdense 5.00 |
X 3.60 |
Lusitania Lourosa 1.58 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa:
🔮 Lusitania Lourosa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lusitania Lourosa, you can win up to $790.00!
Some important points for the tip for Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vilaverdense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa for the Portugal Liga 3 – 12 of January
🏟️ Vilaverdense X Lusitania Lourosa – Portugal Liga 3 |
When the best bet on Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa
Is it worth betting on Vilaverdense?
🔵 Vilaverdense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $400.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$500.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is it worth betting on Lusitania Lourosa?
🔴 Lusitania Lourosa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $382.80
- And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$42.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Vilaverdense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Vilaverdense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Vilaverdense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Lusitania Lourosa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vilaverdense x Lusitania Lourosa
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.