Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano Betting tips for July 5 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano, Saturday, 5/7/2025

📅 5/7/2025 18:30

Villa Dalmine 2.15

X 2.90

Sportivo Italiano 3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Villa Dalmine in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Italiano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Villa Dalmine conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sportivo Italiano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 5 of July

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1348486 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano

Should you bet on Villa Dalmine?

🔵 Villa Dalmine: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $379.50;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$290.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $817.00
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$247.00.

Is betting on Sportivo Italiano worth it?

🔴 Sportivo Italiano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Villa Dalmine
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Villa Dalmine and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Villa Dalmine.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sportivo Italiano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villa Dalmine x Sportivo Italiano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.