Villa Nova x Itabirito Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Mineiro
📅 5/2/2025 23:00 |
![]() 2.12 |
X 3.10 |
Itabirito ![]() 3.07 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Villa Nova x Itabirito:
🔮 Itabirito wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Itabirito, you can win up to $1535.00!
The main points for the tip for Villa Nova x Itabirito: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villa Nova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. |

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Analysis from Villa Nova x Itabirito for the Brazil Campeonato Mineiro – 5 of February
🏟️ Villa Nova X Itabirito – Brazil Campeonato Mineiro |
When the best bet on Villa Nova x Itabirito is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257906 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Villa Nova x Itabirito
Should you bet on Villa Nova?
🔵 Villa Nova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $324.80
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$385.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $567.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.
Is it worth betting on Itabirito?
🔴 Itabirito: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $910.80
- And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$350.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Villa Nova x Itabirito
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Villa Nova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villa Nova x Itabirito
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Villa Nova and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Villa Nova.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Itabirito.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villa Nova x Itabirito
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.