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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Villalonga x Alondras Betting tips for April 17 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Thursday, 17 April 2025, 17h00 Spain Tercera Group 1
Villalonga Villalonga
PREDICTION Villalonga wins Probability 29% 1 X 2
Alondras Alondras
ODD: @2.96 Don't miss this prediction!

Villalonga x Alondras Betting tips for April 17 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Villalonga x Alondras, Thursday, 17/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 17/4/2025
17:00
Villalonga Villalonga
2.96
X
3.25
Alondras Alondras
2.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Villalonga x Alondras:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Villalonga wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Villalonga, you can win up to $1480.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Villalonga x Alondras:

๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Alondras scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Villalonga matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Alondras matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Alondras conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Alondras has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Villalonga x Alondras?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Villalonga x Alondras:

Analysis from Villalonga x Alondras for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 17 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Villalonga X Alondras – Spain Tercera Group 1
๐Ÿ“… 17 of April, 2025 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Villalonga – Winning probability: 29.28% | Fair line: 3.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.37% | Fair line: 4.47
๐Ÿ”ด Alondras – Winning probability: 48.35% | Fair line: 2.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Villalonga
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Villalonga and Alondras.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Villalonga x Alondras

Is it worth betting on Villalonga?

๐Ÿ”ต Villalonga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $568.40;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$141.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$285.00.

Is it worth betting on Alondras?

๐Ÿ”ด Alondras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$56.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Villalonga x Alondras

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Villalonga
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villalonga x Alondras

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Villalonga and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Villalonga.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Villalonga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villalonga x Alondras

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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