Villarreal C x Ontinyent Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for Villarreal C x Ontinyent, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 11:00

Villarreal C 1.90

X 3.28

Ontinyent 3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Villarreal C x Ontinyent:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Villarreal C x Ontinyent

Some important points for the tip for Villarreal C x Ontinyent: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarreal C in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ontinyent in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Villarreal C scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ontinyent scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Villarreal C matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ontinyent conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Villarreal C x Ontinyent for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 9 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Villarreal C x Ontinyent right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Villarreal C x Ontinyent

Is it worth betting on Villarreal C?

🔵 Villarreal C: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $441.00
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$69.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $615.60;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$114.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ontinyent?

🔴 Ontinyent: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Villarreal C x Ontinyent

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Villarreal C
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarreal C x Ontinyent

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Villarreal C, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Villarreal C. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarreal C x Ontinyent

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.