Villarreal x Real Madrid Betting tips for March 15 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Villarreal x Real Madrid, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 17:30

Villarreal 3.08

X 3.85

Real Madrid 2.13

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Villarreal x Real Madrid:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Villarreal x Real Madrid

Some important points for the tip for Villarreal x Real Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarreal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-216.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Villarreal scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Real Madrid, Villarreal scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Villarreal x Real Madrid, with Villarreal as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Villarreal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Real Madrid.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Villarreal x Real Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Villarreal x Real Madrid:

Analysis from Villarreal x Real Madrid for the Spain La Liga – 15 of March

When the best bet on Villarreal x Real Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1281364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Villarreal x Real Madrid

Is betting on Villarreal worth it?

🔵 Villarreal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $561.60;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$168.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $712.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$37.50.

Is betting on Real Madrid worth it?

🔴 Real Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $542.40;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$22.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Villarreal x Real Madrid

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Villarreal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarreal x Real Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Villarreal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Villarreal.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarreal x Real Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.