Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 16:00

Villarrobledo 3.20

X 3.02

Villarrubia CF 2.16

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1510.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarrobledo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-178.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarrubia CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 Villarrobledo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Villarrubia CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Villarrobledo and Villarrubia CF.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF

Is betting on Villarrobledo worth it?

🔵 Villarrobledo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $462.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $707.00
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$57.00.

Should you bet on Villarrubia CF?

🔴 Villarrubia CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $498.80;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Villarrobledo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Villarrobledo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Villarrobledo.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarrobledo x Villarrubia CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.