Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 18
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 16h30 Spain Tercera Group 18
Villarrubia CF Villarrubia CF
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
16:30
Villarrubia CF Villarrubia CF
2.26
X
3.20
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
2.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarrubia CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-215.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Villarrubia CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Calvo Sotelo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo, with Villarrubia CF as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 30 of November

🏟️ Villarrubia CF X Calvo Sotelo – Spain Tercera Group 18
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Villarrubia CF – Winning probability: 37.46% | Fair line: 2.67
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.71% | Fair line: 2.88
🔴 Calvo Sotelo – Winning probability: 27.83% | Fair line: 3.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Villarrubia CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo

Is it worth betting on Villarrubia CF?

🔵 Villarrubia CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $466.20;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$163.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $770.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it worth betting on Calvo Sotelo?

🔴 Calvo Sotelo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Villarrubia CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Villarrubia CF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Villarrubia CF.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villarrubia CF x Calvo Sotelo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters