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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas Betting tips for January 10 in France National
Friday, 10 January 2025, 18h30 France National
Villefranche Villefranche
PREDICTION No tip
Bourg-Peronnas Bourg-Peronnas
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Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas Betting tips for January 10 in France National

Our betting tip for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas, Friday, 10/1/2025
πŸ“… 10/1/2025
18:30
Villefranche Villefranche
2.36
X
2.95
Bourg-Peronnas Bourg-Peronnas
2.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas

Important information for your tip for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Villefranche in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bourg-Peronnas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $260.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Villefranche scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Bourg-Peronnas, Villefranche scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bourg-Peronnas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Villefranche conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Bourg-Peronnas.
πŸ‘‰ Villefranche has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Bourg-Peronnas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas for the France National – 10 of January

🏟️ Villefranche X Bourg-Peronnas – France National
πŸ“… 10 of January, 2025 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ Villefranche – Winning probability: 32.99% | Fair line: 3.03
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.35% | Fair line: 3.09
πŸ”΄ Bourg-Peronnas – Winning probability: 34.66% | Fair line: 2.89
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Villefranche
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244129 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas

Is betting on Villefranche worth it?

πŸ”΅ Villefranche: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $448.80;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$221.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$56.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bourg-Peronnas?

πŸ”΄ Bourg-Peronnas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $682.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$32.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Villefranche
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Villefranche and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Villefranche.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Bourg-Peronnas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Villefranche x Bourg-Peronnas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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