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Home » Predictions » Others » Vimenor x CD Colindres Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h30 Spain Tercera Group 3
Vimenor Vimenor
PREDICTION Vimenor wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
CD Colindres CD Colindres
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction!

Vimenor x CD Colindres Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for Vimenor x CD Colindres, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
12:30
Vimenor Vimenor
1.84
X
3.45
CD Colindres CD Colindres
3.58

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vimenor x CD Colindres:

🔮 Vimenor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vimenor, you can win up to $920.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Vimenor x CD Colindres:

👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CD Colindres conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Vimenor x CD Colindres for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ Vimenor X CD Colindres – Spain Tercera Group 3
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 Vimenor – Winning probability: 58.81% | Fair line: 1.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.32% | Fair line: 4.29
🔴 CD Colindres – Winning probability: 17.87% | Fair line: 5.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vimenor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vimenor x CD Colindres is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vimenor x CD Colindres

Is it a good idea to bet on Vimenor?

🔵 Vimenor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $495.60;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $563.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$206.50.

Is betting on CD Colindres worth it?

🔴 CD Colindres: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $464.40
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$355.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vimenor x CD Colindres

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vimenor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vimenor x CD Colindres

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Vimenor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Vimenor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Vimenor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vimenor x CD Colindres

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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