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Home » Predictions » Others » Vipers SC x Maroons Betting tips for January 6 in Uganda Premier League
Monday, 06 January 2025, 16h00 Uganda Premier League
Vipers SC Vipers SC
PREDICTION Vipers SC wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Maroons Maroons
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Vipers SC x Maroons Betting tips for January 6 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for Vipers SC x Maroons, Monday, 6/1/2025
📅 6/1/2025
16:00
Vipers SC Vipers SC
1.46
X
3.74
Maroons Maroons
6.42

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vipers SC x Maroons:

🔮 Vipers SC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vipers SC, you can win up to $730.00!

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The main points for the tip for Vipers SC x Maroons:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vipers SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-172.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maroons in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $427.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Maroons scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Maroons, Vipers SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Vipers SC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Maroons is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Vipers SC has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Maroons playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vipers SC x Maroons for the Uganda Premier League – 6 of January

🏟️ Vipers SC X Maroons – Uganda Premier League
📅 6 of January, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Vipers SC – Winning probability: 86.21% | Fair line: 1.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.76% | Fair line: 9.3
🔴 Maroons – Winning probability: 3.03% | Fair line: 32.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vipers SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vipers SC x Maroons is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242357 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vipers SC x Maroons

Should you bet on Vipers SC?

🔵 Vipers SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $395.60
  • And would lose other 140 times – losing -$140.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$255.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $301.40
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$588.60.

Is betting on Maroons worth it?

🔴 Maroons: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $162.60;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$807.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vipers SC x Maroons

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vipers SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vipers SC x Maroons

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Vipers SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Vipers SC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Vipers SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vipers SC x Maroons

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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