Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 2.90

X 3.05

Luparense FC 2.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC

Some important points for the tip for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Luparense FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Virtus Ciserano Bergamo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Luparense FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC:

Analysis from Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

When the best bet on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC

Is betting on Virtus Ciserano Bergamo worth it?

🔵 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $437.00
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$333.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $656.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$24.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Luparense FC?

🔴 Luparense FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$35.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Luparense FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo x Luparense FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.