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Home » Predictions » Others » Vis Pesaro x Perugia Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie C Group B
Monday, 30 September 2024, 15h45 Italy Serie C Group B
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro
PREDICTION No tip
Perugia Perugia
Don't miss this prediction!

Vis Pesaro x Perugia Betting tips for September 30 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Vis Pesaro x Perugia, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
15:45
Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro
2.50
X
2.94
Perugia Perugia
2.78

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Vis Pesaro x Perugia:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Vis Pesaro x Perugia

Some important points for the tip for Vis Pesaro x Perugia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vis Pesaro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $182.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Perugia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Vis Pesaro x Perugia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Vis Pesaro x Perugia:

Analysis from Vis Pesaro x Perugia for the Italy Serie C Group B – 30 of September

🏟️ Vis Pesaro X Perugia – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Vis Pesaro – Winning probability: 30.30% | Fair line: 3.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.05% | Fair line: 3.57
🔴 Perugia – Winning probability: 41.65% | Fair line: 2.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vis Pesaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vis Pesaro x Perugia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vis Pesaro x Perugia

Is it a good idea to bet on Vis Pesaro?

🔵 Vis Pesaro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$250.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $543.20
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$176.80.

Should you bet on Perugia?

🔴 Perugia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $747.60;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vis Pesaro x Perugia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Vis Pesaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vis Pesaro x Perugia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Vis Pesaro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Vis Pesaro.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vis Pesaro x Perugia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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