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Home » Predictions » Vision Kigali x Police FC Betting tips for September 29 in Rwanda National League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Rwanda National League
Vision Kigali Vision Kigali
PREDICTION Police FC Wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Police FC Police FC
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Vision Kigali x Police FC Betting tips for September 29 in Rwanda National League

Our betting tip for Vision Kigali x Police FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Vision Kigali Vision Kigali
4.54
X
3.49
Police FC Police FC
1.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vision Kigali x Police FC:

🔮 Police FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Police FC, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Vision Kigali x Police FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Police FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Vision Kigali scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Police FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vision Kigali x Police FC for the Rwanda National League – 29 of September

🏟️ Vision Kigali X Police FC – Rwanda National League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Vision Kigali – Winning probability: 8.87% | Fair line: 11.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.46% | Fair line: 5.14
🔴 Police FC – Winning probability: 71.66% | Fair line: 1.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Vision Kigali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vision Kigali x Police FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vision Kigali x Police FC

Is betting on Vision Kigali worth it?

🔵 Vision Kigali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $318.60;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$591.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $473.10;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$336.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on Police FC?

🔴 Police FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vision Kigali x Police FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Vision Kigali
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vision Kigali x Police FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Vision Kigali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Vision Kigali.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vision Kigali x Police FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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