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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan Betting tips for October 2 in AFC Champions League Elite
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 07h00 AFC Champions League Elite
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
PREDICTION Vissel Kobe wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan Betting tips for October 2 in AFC Champions League Elite

Our betting tip for Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
07:00
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
1.37
X
4.75
Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan
6.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Vissel Kobe wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vissel Kobe, you can win up to $685.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vissel Kobe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $234.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Shandong Taishan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $147.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Vissel Kobe scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Shandong Taishan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Vissel Kobe is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan for the AFC Champions League Elite – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Vissel Kobe X Shandong Taishan – AFC Champions League Elite
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 07:00
๐Ÿ”ต Vissel Kobe – Winning probability: 80.73% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.58% | Fair line: 11.65
๐Ÿ”ด Shandong Taishan – Winning probability: 10.68% | Fair line: 9.36
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vissel Kobe
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vissel Kobe and Shandong Taishan.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan

Is it worth betting on Vissel Kobe?

๐Ÿ”ต Vissel Kobe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $299.70;
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$109.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $337.50;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$572.50.

Should you bet on Shandong Taishan?

๐Ÿ”ด Shandong Taishan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $616.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$274.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vissel Kobe
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Vissel Kobe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Vissel Kobe. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vissel Kobe x Shandong Taishan

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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