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Home » Predictions » Others » Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Capixaba
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 23h00 Brazil Campeonato Capixaba
Vitoria ES Vitoria ES
PREDICTION Vitoria ES wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Vilavelhense Vilavelhense
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Campeonato Capixaba

Our betting tip for Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
23:00
Vitoria ES Vitoria ES
1.95
X
3.12
Vilavelhense Vilavelhense
3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense:

🔮 Vitoria ES wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vitoria ES, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Vilavelhense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $138.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Vitoria ES scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Vilavelhense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Vilavelhense, Vitoria ES scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense, with Vitoria ES as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Vitoria ES conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Vitoria ES conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Vilavelhense.
👉 Vitoria ES has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Vilavelhense playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense for the Brazil Campeonato Capixaba – 4 of February

🏟️ Vitoria ES X Vilavelhense – Brazil Campeonato Capixaba
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Vitoria ES – Winning probability: 74.65% | Fair line: 1.34
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.75% | Fair line: 5.97
🔴 Vilavelhense – Winning probability: 8.60% | Fair line: 11.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vitoria ES
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Vitoria ES and Vilavelhense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257615 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense

Should you bet on Vitoria ES?

🔵 Vitoria ES: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $712.50;
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$462.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $360.40
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$469.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Vilavelhense?

🔴 Vilavelhense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $234.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$676.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Vitoria ES
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Vitoria ES and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Vitoria ES.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Vitoria ES.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria ES x Vilavelhense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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