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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Vitoria x Nautico Betting tips for March 12 in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, 12 March 2025, 22h00 Copa do Brasil
Vitoria Vitoria
PREDICTION Vitoria wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Nautico Nautico
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Vitoria x Nautico Betting tips for March 12 in Copa do Brasil

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Nautico, Wednesday, 12/3/2025
๐Ÿ“… 12/3/2025
22:00
Vitoria Vitoria
1.47
X
3.85
Nautico Nautico
7.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Vitoria x Nautico:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Vitoria wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vitoria, you can win up to $735.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Vitoria x Nautico:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nautico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $260.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nautico conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Vitoria conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Nautico.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vitoria x Nautico for the Copa do Brasil – 12 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Vitoria X Nautico – Copa do Brasil
๐Ÿ“… 12 of March, 2025 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Vitoria – Winning probability: 90.23% | Fair line: 1.11
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.16% | Fair line: 16.23
๐Ÿ”ด Nautico – Winning probability: 3.61% | Fair line: 27.68
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vitoria
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Vitoria x Nautico right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1280484 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vitoria x Nautico

Is it a good idea to bet on Vitoria?

๐Ÿ”ต Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $423.00
  • And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$323.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $171.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$769.00.

Should you bet on Nautico?

๐Ÿ”ด Nautico: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$720.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Nautico

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vitoria
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Nautico

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Vitoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Vitoria.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Vitoria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Nautico

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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