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Home » Predictions » Others » Viveiro CF x Villalonga Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Spain Tercera Group 1
Viveiro CF Viveiro CF
PREDICTION Viveiro CF wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Villalonga Villalonga
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Viveiro CF x Villalonga Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Viveiro CF x Villalonga, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
07:00
Viveiro CF Viveiro CF
1.50
X
3.75
Villalonga Villalonga
5.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Viveiro CF x Villalonga:

🔮 Viveiro CF wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Viveiro CF, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Viveiro CF x Villalonga:

👉 In the last 4 Viveiro CF matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Villalonga conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Villalonga as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Viveiro CF x Villalonga?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Viveiro CF x Villalonga for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ Viveiro CF X Villalonga – Spain Tercera Group 1
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
🔵 Viveiro CF – Winning probability: 77.24% | Fair line: 1.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.91% | Fair line: 5.91
🔴 Villalonga – Winning probability: 5.85% | Fair line: 17.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Viveiro CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Viveiro CF x Villalonga right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Viveiro CF x Villalonga

Is betting on Viveiro CF worth it?

🔵 Viveiro CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $385.00;
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $467.50;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$362.50.

Should you bet on Villalonga?

🔴 Villalonga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$670.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Viveiro CF x Villalonga

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Viveiro CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Viveiro CF x Villalonga

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Viveiro CF, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Viveiro CF. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Viveiro CF x Villalonga

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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