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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar Betting tips for October 2 in Serbia Super Liga
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 14h00 Serbia Super Liga
Vojvodina Vojvodina
PREDICTION Vojvodina wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
FK Novi Pazar FK Novi Pazar
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar Betting tips for October 2 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 2/10/2024
14:00
Vojvodina Vojvodina
1.47
X
4.20
FK Novi Pazar FK Novi Pazar
5.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Vojvodina wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Vojvodina, you can win up to $735.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Vojvodina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-108.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Novi Pazar in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-400.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Vojvodina scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, FK Novi Pazar scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against FK Novi Pazar, Vojvodina scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 FK Novi Pazar matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, FK Novi Pazar conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Vojvodina has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against FK Novi Pazar.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for FK Novi Pazar as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar for the Serbia Super Liga – 2 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Vojvodina X FK Novi Pazar – Serbia Super Liga
๐Ÿ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Vojvodina – Winning probability: 78.50% | Fair line: 1.27
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.11% | Fair line: 7.09
๐Ÿ”ด FK Novi Pazar – Winning probability: 7.39% | Fair line: 13.54
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vojvodina
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar

Is betting on Vojvodina worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Vojvodina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 78.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $371.30;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$161.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$412.00.

Is betting on FK Novi Pazar worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด FK Novi Pazar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $308.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$622.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Vojvodina
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Vojvodina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Vojvodina.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Vojvodina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vojvodina x FK Novi Pazar

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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