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Home » Predictions » Others » Waasland-Beveren x Genk Betting tips for October 30 in Belgium Cup
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h00 Belgium Cup
Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren
PREDICTION Genk Wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Genk Genk
ODD: @1.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Waasland-Beveren x Genk Betting tips for October 30 in Belgium Cup

Our betting tip for Waasland-Beveren x Genk, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
19:00
Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren
7.13
X
4.84
Genk Genk
1.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Waasland-Beveren x Genk:

🔮 Genk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Genk, you can win up to $660.00!

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The main points for the tip for Waasland-Beveren x Genk:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Waasland-Beveren in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Genk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $380.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Genk scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Waasland-Beveren matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Waasland-Beveren conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Genk.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Waasland-Beveren x Genk?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Waasland-Beveren x Genk, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Waasland-Beveren x Genk for the Belgium Cup – 30 of October

🏟️ Waasland-Beveren X Genk – Belgium Cup
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Waasland-Beveren – Winning probability: 1.18% | Fair line: 85.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.06% | Fair line: 32.65
🔴 Genk – Winning probability: 95.76% | Fair line: 1.04
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Waasland-Beveren
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Waasland-Beveren and Genk.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1212778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Waasland-Beveren x Genk

Is betting on Waasland-Beveren worth it?

🔵 Waasland-Beveren: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $61.30;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$928.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $115.20;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$854.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Genk?

🔴 Genk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $307.20
  • And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$267.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Waasland-Beveren x Genk

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Waasland-Beveren
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Waasland-Beveren x Genk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Waasland-Beveren, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Waasland-Beveren. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Waasland-Beveren x Genk

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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