Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek Betting tips for March 14 in Belgium First Division B

Our betting tip for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025
19:00

Waasland-Beveren
3.40

X
3.30

RWD Molenbeek

2.03

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek

Important information for your tip for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Waasland-Beveren in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on RWD Molenbeek in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $73.0.
👉 RWD Molenbeek did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against RWD Molenbeek, Waasland-Beveren scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 RWD Molenbeek matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, RWD Molenbeek has not lost any of them.
👉 Waasland-Beveren has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against RWD Molenbeek playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek for the Belgium First Division B – 14 of March

🏟️ Waasland-Beveren X RWD Molenbeek – Belgium First Division B
📅 14 of March, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Waasland-Beveren – Winning probability: 18.40% | Fair line: 5.43
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.24% | Fair line: 3.31
🔴 RWD Molenbeek – Winning probability: 51.35% | Fair line: 1.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Waasland-Beveren
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281036 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek

Is betting on Waasland-Beveren worth it?

🔵 Waasland-Beveren: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $432.00;
And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$388.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $690.00
And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on RWD Molenbeek?

🔴 RWD Molenbeek: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $525.30
And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$35.30, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Waasland-Beveren
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Waasland-Beveren, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Waasland-Beveren.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Waasland-Beveren x RWD Molenbeek

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.