📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Walsall x Exeter
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Analysis from Walsall x Exeter for the England League 2 – 22 of January
🏟️ Walsall X Exeter – England League 2
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Walsall and Exeter.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Walsall x Exeter
Should you bet on Walsall?
🔵 Walsall: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $750.00
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$250.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Exeter?
🔴 Exeter: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $374.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$406.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Walsall x Exeter
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Walsall
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Walsall x Exeter
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Walsall, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Walsall.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Walsall.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Walsall x Exeter
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves