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15/1/2022 15:00 |
 Warrenpoint Town6.35 |
X 4.60 |
Crusaders  1.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Warrenpoint Town x Crusaders:
๐ฎ Crusaders wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crusaders, you can win up to $700.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Warrenpoint Town x Crusaders
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Analysis from Warrenpoint Town x Crusaders for the Northern Ireland Premier – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ Warrenpoint Town X Crusaders – Northern Ireland Premier |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Warrenpoint Town and Crusaders.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 287992 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Warrenpoint Town x Crusaders
Should you bet on Warrenpoint Town?
๐ต Warrenpoint Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $160.50;
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$809.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$540.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Crusaders?
๐ด Crusaders: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $348.00;
- And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$218.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Warrenpoint Town x Crusaders
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Warrenpoint Town
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Warrenpoint Town x Crusaders
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Warrenpoint Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Warrenpoint Town.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Warrenpoint Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Warrenpoint Town x Crusaders
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
