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Home » Predictions » Others » Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens Betting tips for January 12 in Jamaica Premier League
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 22h30 Jamaica Premier League
Waterhouse Waterhouse
PREDICTION Tivoli Gardens Wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Tivoli Gardens Tivoli Gardens
ODD: @2.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens Betting tips for January 12 in Jamaica Premier League

Our betting tip for Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
22:30
Waterhouse Waterhouse
2.35
X
3.20
Tivoli Gardens Tivoli Gardens
2.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens:

🔮 Tivoli Gardens wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tivoli Gardens, you can win up to $1340.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Waterhouse in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-142.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tivoli Gardens in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tivoli Gardens scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens, with Waterhouse as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Waterhouse conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Waterhouse conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Tivoli Gardens.

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Summary

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Analysis from Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens for the Jamaica Premier League – 12 of January

🏟️ Waterhouse X Tivoli Gardens – Jamaica Premier League
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 22:30
🔵 Waterhouse – Winning probability: 32.82% | Fair line: 3.05
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.80% | Fair line: 3.36
🔴 Tivoli Gardens – Winning probability: 37.39% | Fair line: 2.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Waterhouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Waterhouse and Tivoli Gardens.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1245132 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens

Is it worth betting on Waterhouse?

🔵 Waterhouse: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $445.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$224.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Tivoli Gardens?

🔴 Tivoli Gardens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $621.60
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$8.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Waterhouse
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Waterhouse and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Waterhouse.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Tivoli Gardens.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Waterhouse x Tivoli Gardens

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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