Watford x Swansea Betting tips for March 12 in England Championship
| 📅 12/3/2025 19:45 |
 Watford2.30 |
X 3.27 |
Swansea  3.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Watford x Swansea:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Watford x Swansea
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The main points for the tip for Watford x Swansea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Watford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. |
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Analysis from Watford x Swansea for the England Championship – 12 of March
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🏟️ Watford X Swansea – England Championship |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Watford and Swansea.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280306 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Watford x Swansea
Should you bet on Watford?
🔵 Watford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $546.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$34.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $590.20;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.80.
Is it worth betting on Swansea?
🔴 Swansea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $672.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$8.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Watford x Swansea
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Watford
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Watford x Swansea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Watford and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Watford.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Swansea.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Watford x Swansea
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
