Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United Betting tips for January 11 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 04:00

Wellington Phoenix 2.90

X 3.60

Adelaide United 2.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United:

🔮 Adelaide United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Adelaide United, you can win up to $1075.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wellington Phoenix in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $155.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Adelaide United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $638.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Wellington Phoenix scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Adelaide United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Adelaide United, Wellington Phoenix scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Wellington Phoenix conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Adelaide United. 👉 Adelaide United is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Wellington Phoenix has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Adelaide United playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United for the Australia A-League – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244472 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United

Should you bet on Wellington Phoenix?

🔵 Wellington Phoenix: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $342.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$478.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is it worth betting on Adelaide United?

🔴 Adelaide United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $724.50
• And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$354.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Wellington Phoenix
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Wellington Phoenix, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Wellington Phoenix.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Adelaide United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wellington Phoenix x Adelaide United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.