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Home » Predictions » Others » Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa Betting tips for February 3 in Ethiopia Premier League
Monday, 03 February 2025, 15h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat Welwalo Adigrat
PREDICTION Dire Dawa Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa Betting tips for February 3 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa, Monday, 3/2/2025
📅 3/2/2025
15:00
Welwalo Adigrat Welwalo Adigrat
3.55
X
2.94
Dire Dawa Dire Dawa
2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa:

🔮 Dire Dawa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dire Dawa, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Welwalo Adigrat in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dire Dawa in each of its last 2 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.
👉 In the last 3 Welwalo Adigrat matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa for the Ethiopia Premier League – 3 of February

🏟️ Welwalo Adigrat X Dire Dawa – Ethiopia Premier League
📅 3 of February, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Welwalo Adigrat – Winning probability: 10.20% | Fair line: 9.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.00% | Fair line: 5.88
🔴 Dire Dawa – Winning probability: 72.80% | Fair line: 1.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Welwalo Adigrat
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255653 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa

Is betting on Welwalo Adigrat worth it?

🔵 Welwalo Adigrat: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $255.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$645.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $329.80
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$500.20.

Is betting on Dire Dawa worth it?

🔴 Dire Dawa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $766.50
  • And would have lost other 270 times – with a loss of -$270.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$496.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Welwalo Adigrat
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Welwalo Adigrat, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Welwalo Adigrat.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Dire Dawa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Welwalo Adigrat x Dire Dawa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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