Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II Betting tips for April 17 in Germany Regionalliga North

Our betting tip for Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 12:00

Werder Bremen II 1.64

X 3.95

St Pauli II 3.97

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II:

🔮 Werder Bremen II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Werder Bremen II, you can win up to $820.00!

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The main points for the tip for Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Werder Bremen II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen II scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against St Pauli II, Werder Bremen II scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Werder Bremen II matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Werder Bremen II conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Werder Bremen II has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against St Pauli II playing at home.

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Analysis from Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II for the Germany Regionalliga North – 17 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Werder Bremen II and St Pauli II.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1305181 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II

Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen II?

🔵 Werder Bremen II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – losing -$300.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$148.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $501.50;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.50.

Is betting on St Pauli II worth it?

🔴 St Pauli II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $386.10;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$483.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Werder Bremen II
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Werder Bremen II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Werder Bremen II.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 St Pauli II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Werder Bremen II x St Pauli II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.