West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves Betting tips for July 5 in Australia South Australia State League Reserves
| 📅 5/7/2025 02:45 |
 West Adelaide Reserves2.15 |
X 4.20 |
Sturt Lions Reserves  2.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $2100.00!
Important information for your tip for West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves:
👉 If you had bet $100 on West Adelaide Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $24.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sturt Lions Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $257.0.
👉 Sturt Lions Reserves did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, West Adelaide Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Sturt Lions Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 West Adelaide Reserves matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, West Adelaide Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, West Adelaide Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Sturt Lions Reserves.
👉 Sturt Lions Reserves is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves for the Australia South Australia State League Reserves – 5 of July
🏟️ West Adelaide Reserves X Sturt Lions Reserves – Australia South Australia State League Reserves
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 02:45
🔵 West Adelaide Reserves – Winning probability: 41.69% | Fair line: 2.4
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.34% | Fair line: 4.11
🔴 Sturt Lions Reserves – Winning probability: 33.97% | Fair line: 2.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 West Adelaide Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348443 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves
Should you bet on West Adelaide Reserves?
🔵 West Adelaide Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 420 times – profiting $483.00;
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $768.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$8.00.
Is it worth betting on Sturt Lions Reserves?
🔴 Sturt Lions Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$184.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 West Adelaide Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 West Adelaide Reserves, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 West Adelaide Reserves.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 West Adelaide Reserves.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Adelaide Reserves x Sturt Lions Reserves
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.
