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17/1/2022 19:00 |
 West Brom U232.35 |
X 3.60 |
Aston Villa U23  2.46 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23:
๐ฎ Aston Villa U23 wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa U23, you can win up to $1227.50!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23
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Analysis from West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23 for the England Premier League 2 – 17 of January
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๐๏ธ West Brom U23 X Aston Villa U23 – England Premier League 2 |
When the best bet on West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288856 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23
Is it worth betting on West Brom U23?
๐ต West Brom U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$248.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$316.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Aston Villa U23?
๐ด Aston Villa U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $712.95
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$202.95.
Handicaps analysis for the match West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 West Brom U23
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 West Brom U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 West Brom U23.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Aston Villa U23.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Brom U23 x Aston Villa U23
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Monday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
