π
16/1/2022 07:45 |
![]() 2.36 |
X 3.40 |
Melbourne Victory ![]() 2.67 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory:
Analysis from Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory for the Australia A-League – 16 of January
ποΈ Western Sydney Wanderers X Melbourne Victory – Australia A-League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory
Should you bet on Western Sydney Wanderers?
π΅ Western Sydney Wanderers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $571.20
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$8.80.
Should you bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $624.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$116.00.
Should you bet on Melbourne Victory?
π΄ Melbourne Victory: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $552.75
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$117.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Western Sydney Wanderers
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Western Sydney Wanderers, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Western Sydney Wanderers.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Western Sydney Wanderers.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Western Sydney Wanderers x Melbourne Victory
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves