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Home » Predictions » Others » Western United FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for December 1 in Australia A-League
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 05h00 Australia A-League
Western United FC Western United FC
PREDICTION Melbourne Victory Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Western United FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for December 1 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Western United FC x Melbourne Victory, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
05:00
Western United FC Western United FC
4.00
X
3.82
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
1.77

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Western United FC x Melbourne Victory:

🔮 Melbourne Victory wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne Victory, you can win up to $885.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Western United FC x Melbourne Victory:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Western United FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Victory in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-12.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Melbourne Victory, Western United FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Western United FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Western United FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Melbourne Victory playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Western United FC x Melbourne Victory for the Australia A-League – 1 of December

🏟️ Western United FC X Melbourne Victory – Australia A-League
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 05:00
🔵 Western United FC – Winning probability: 12.34% | Fair line: 8.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.43% | Fair line: 4.9
🔴 Melbourne Victory – Winning probability: 67.23% | Fair line: 1.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Western United FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Western United FC x Melbourne Victory right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Western United FC x Melbourne Victory

Is it a good idea to bet on Western United FC?

🔵 Western United FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $564.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$236.00.

Should you bet on Melbourne Victory?

🔴 Melbourne Victory: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $515.90;
  • And would lose other 330 times – having a loss of -$330.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$185.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Western United FC x Melbourne Victory

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Western United FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Western United FC x Melbourne Victory

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Western United FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Western United FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Melbourne Victory.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Western United FC x Melbourne Victory

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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