π
22/1/2022 07:09 |
![]() 1.89 |
X 3.50 |
Wellington Phoenix ![]() 3.70 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix
π You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix for the Australia A-League – 22 of January
ποΈ Western United FC X Wellington Phoenix – Australia A-League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix
Is it worth betting on Western United FC?
π΅ Western United FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.89. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $445.00
- And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$55.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$195.00.
Is it worth betting on Wellington Phoenix?
π΄ Wellington Phoenix: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $702.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$38.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Western United FC
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Western United FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Western United FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Wellington Phoenix.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Western United FC x Wellington Phoenix
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Saturday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves