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Home » Predictions » Others » Widad Arafat x FC Brakna Betting tips for February 5 in Mauritania Division 2
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 16h00 Mauritania Division 2
Widad Arafat Widad Arafat
PREDICTION No tip
FC Brakna FC Brakna
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Widad Arafat x FC Brakna Betting tips for February 5 in Mauritania Division 2

Our betting tip for Widad Arafat x FC Brakna, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
16:00
Widad Arafat Widad Arafat
1.89
X
3.06
FC Brakna FC Brakna
4.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Widad Arafat x FC Brakna:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Widad Arafat x FC Brakna

Important information for your tip for Widad Arafat x FC Brakna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Widad Arafat in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $6.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Brakna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $275.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Widad Arafat scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Brakna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Widad Arafat conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Brakna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, FC Brakna has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Widad Arafat x FC Brakna for the Mauritania Division 2 – 5 of February

🏟️ Widad Arafat X FC Brakna – Mauritania Division 2
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 Widad Arafat – Winning probability: 50.97% | Fair line: 1.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.71% | Fair line: 3.26
🔴 FC Brakna – Winning probability: 18.32% | Fair line: 5.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Widad Arafat
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Widad Arafat x FC Brakna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257659 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Widad Arafat x FC Brakna

Should you bet on Widad Arafat?

🔵 Widad Arafat: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.89. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $453.90;
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$36.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $638.60
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$51.40.

Is it worth betting on FC Brakna?

🔴 FC Brakna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $543.60;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$276.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Widad Arafat x FC Brakna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Widad Arafat
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Widad Arafat x FC Brakna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Widad Arafat, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Widad Arafat.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Widad Arafat x FC Brakna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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