Wigan x Peterborough Betting tips for October 1 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Wigan x Peterborough, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 15:45

Wigan 2.60

X 3.40

Peterborough 2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wigan x Peterborough:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Wigan x Peterborough

The main points for the tip for Wigan x Peterborough: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wigan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peterborough in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $108.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Peterborough scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Peterborough matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Peterborough conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Wigan x Peterborough for the England League 1 – 1 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wigan x Peterborough right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Wigan x Peterborough

Should you bet on Wigan?

🔵 Wigan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $528.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Should you bet on Peterborough?

🔴 Peterborough: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $585.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$25.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Wigan x Peterborough

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Wigan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wigan x Peterborough

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Wigan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Wigan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Peterborough.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wigan x Peterborough

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.