📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Wycombe x Oxford Utd
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Analysis from Wycombe x Oxford Utd for the England League 1 – 15 of January
🏟️ Wycombe X Oxford Utd – England League 1
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wycombe and Oxford Utd.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Wycombe x Oxford Utd
Is betting on Wycombe worth it?
🔵 Wycombe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $507.00;
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$103.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $690.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Oxford Utd?
🔴 Oxford Utd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $589.00;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Wycombe x Oxford Utd
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Wycombe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wycombe x Oxford Utd
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Wycombe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Wycombe.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Oxford Utd.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wycombe x Oxford Utd
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves