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Home » Predictions » Others » Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco Betting tips for December 2 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Monday, 02 December 2024, 01h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Xelaju Xelaju
PREDICTION Xelaju wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Mixco
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco Betting tips for December 2 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco, Monday, 2/12/2024
📅 2/12/2024
01:00
Xelaju Xelaju
1.45
X
3.50
Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Mixco
7.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco:

🔮 Xelaju wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Xelaju, you can win up to $725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $236.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Mixco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Xelaju scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Deportivo Mixco, Xelaju scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Xelaju is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Xelaju has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Mixco playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco:

Analysis from Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 2 of December

🏟️ Xelaju X Deportivo Mixco – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 2 of December, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Xelaju – Winning probability: 81.52% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.56% | Fair line: 6.43
🔴 Deportivo Mixco – Winning probability: 2.93% | Fair line: 34.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230541 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco

Is betting on Xelaju worth it?

🔵 Xelaju: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $369.00
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$189.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $400.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportivo Mixco?

🔴 Deportivo Mixco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $180.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$790.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Xelaju and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Xelaju.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Xelaju.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xelaju x Deportivo Mixco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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