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Home » Predictions » Others » Xelaju x Marquense Betting tips for January 10 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Friday, 10 January 2025, 20h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Xelaju Xelaju
PREDICTION Xelaju wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Marquense Marquense
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Xelaju x Marquense Betting tips for January 10 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Xelaju x Marquense, Friday, 10/1/2025
📅 10/1/2025
20:00
Xelaju Xelaju
1.45
X
4.20
Marquense Marquense
6.14

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Xelaju x Marquense:

🔮 Xelaju wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Xelaju, you can win up to $725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Xelaju x Marquense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Xelaju in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Marquense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Xelaju did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Marquense did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Xelaju scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Marquense, Xelaju scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Xelaju is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Xelaju has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Marquense.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Xelaju x Marquense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Xelaju x Marquense:

Analysis from Xelaju x Marquense for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 10 of January

🏟️ Xelaju X Marquense – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 10 of January, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Xelaju – Winning probability: 84.47% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.29% | Fair line: 8.86
🔴 Marquense – Winning probability: 4.24% | Fair line: 23.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Xelaju and Marquense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244129 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Xelaju x Marquense

Is it worth betting on Xelaju?

🔵 Xelaju: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – profiting $378.00;
  • And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$218.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$538.00.

Should you bet on Marquense?

🔴 Marquense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $205.60
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$754.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Xelaju x Marquense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Xelaju
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xelaju x Marquense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Xelaju and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Xelaju.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Xelaju.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xelaju x Marquense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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