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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Xerez CD x La Union CF Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 11h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Xerez CD Xerez CD
PREDICTION No tip
La Union CF La Union CF
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Xerez CD x La Union CF Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Xerez CD x La Union CF, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
11:30
Xerez CD Xerez CD
2.03
X
2.67
La Union CF La Union CF
4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Xerez CD x La Union CF:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Xerez CD x La Union CF

Some important points for the tip for Xerez CD x La Union CF:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Xerez CD in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $42.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on La Union CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $53.0.
πŸ‘‰ Xerez CD did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Xerez CD matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 La Union CF matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Xerez CD x La Union CF for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 2 of February

🏟️ Xerez CD X La Union CF – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 11:30
πŸ”΅ Xerez CD – Winning probability: 48.85% | Fair line: 2.05
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.68% | Fair line: 2.8
πŸ”΄ La Union CF – Winning probability: 15.47% | Fair line: 6.47
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Xerez CD
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Xerez CD x La Union CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Xerez CD x La Union CF

Is betting on Xerez CD worth it?

πŸ”΅ Xerez CD: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $504.70;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$5.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $601.20
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$38.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on La Union CF worth it?

πŸ”΄ La Union CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Xerez CD x La Union CF

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Xerez CD
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xerez CD x La Union CF

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Xerez CD and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Xerez CD.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xerez CD x La Union CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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