Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 16:00

Xerez Deportivo FC 2.40

X 2.79

CD Estepona 3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona

Some important points for the tip for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Xerez Deportivo FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-50.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Estepona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $257.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Xerez Deportivo FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CD Estepona conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona

Is betting on Xerez Deportivo FC worth it?

🔵 Xerez Deportivo FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $518.00;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$112.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $608.60
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$51.40.

Should you bet on CD Estepona?

🔴 CD Estepona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Xerez Deportivo FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Xerez Deportivo FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Xerez Deportivo FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 CD Estepona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xerez Deportivo FC x CD Estepona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.