Xinabajul x Antigua GFC Betting tips for April 17 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 00:00

Xinabajul 2.66

X 3.10

Antigua GFC 2.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC

Some important points for the tip for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Xinabajul in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Antigua GFC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Xinabajul scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Xinabajul x Antigua GFC, with Xinabajul as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Antigua GFC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Xinabajul x Antigua GFC for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 17 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1305181 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC

Should you bet on Xinabajul?

🔵 Xinabajul: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $680.60;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Antigua GFC?

🔴 Antigua GFC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $507.50
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$142.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Xinabajul x Antigua GFC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Xinabajul
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Xinabajul and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Xinabajul.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Antigua GFC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xinabajul x Antigua GFC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.